After two weeks in Hawaii, the PGA Tour moves to its West Coast swing. The American Express will take place this week at PGA West in La Quinta, Calif., the second full-field event of the season. Below, we look at The American Express odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Nick Dunlap (+4500) is back to defend his title at The American Express after winning it as an amateur last year, 1 of 2 victories by the rookie in 2024. He’ll have to contend with a strong field led by Xander Schauffele (+800), Sungjae Im (+1400), Justin Thomas (+1600) and Patrick Cantlay (+1600).
PGA West is once again hosting this event, which will be played at 3 courses: The Pete Dye Stadium Course, La Quinta Country Club and the Nicklaus Tournament Course. The Stadium Course will be the site of the final round after the field is trimmed following a 54-hole cut. All 3 courses are par 72, with the Stadium Course being the longest at 7,210 yards. This event has had a winning score between 20-under and 29-under each year since 2012. Dunlap won last year at 29-under 259.
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The American Express – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:41 p.m. ET.
Sungjae Im (+1400)
Im must love PGA West because he always plays well here. In his six starts since 2019, he’s finished no worse than 25th, with 4 finishes between 10th and 12th. He’s a perfect fit for this event because of his ability to rack up birdies in bunches given the easy scoring conditions. He’s fresh off a third-place finish in The Sentry to start the year, too.
Sam Burns (+1800)
Burns has played this event 5 times and only missed the cut once. In the other 4 appearances, he’s finished sixth, 11th, sixth and 18th. His track record at PGA West is among the best of any player in the field and just finished 8th at The Sentry against a strong field.
The American Express picks – Contenders
Brian Harman (+5000)
Harman was in contention last week at the Sony Open after rounds of 66, 67, and 66 on the first 3 days, but he faded on Sunday with a final-round 71. Still, he finished T-21, which is a respectable showing in the first full-field event of the year. Though he skipped The American Express last year and missed the cut in 2023, he came in eighth in 2021 and third in 2022, along with a third-place finish in 2017.
Patrick Fishburn (+5500)
This could be a breakout year for the 32-year-old Fishburn. He got steadily better in the fall and had 2 top-12 finishes in his last 2 events before coming in sixth last week at the Sony Open in Hawaii. He missed the cut in his event last year, but we’re taking him for his recent form, not course history.
The American Express picks – Long shots
Adam Hadwin (+8000)
Hadwin has only missed this event once since 2015 and that was in 2020. In 9 career starts here, he’s had 7 top-25 finishes; he was the runner-up twice and has 5 top 10s. Just last year, he tied for sixth. He hasn’t shot a round over 69 here since 2022.
Andrew Putnam (+8000)
Putnam turned in a T-30 at the Sony Open last week, which was a good start to the year for him. In this tournament, he’s never missed the cut in 7 starts, with his best finish being a 10th-place showing in 2020.
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