The Missouri Tigers (13-3, 2-1 SEC) head to the swamp to face the fourth-ranked Florida Gators (15-1, 2-1) Tuesday in Southeastern Conference action. Tip-off from Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center is set for 9 p.m. (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Missouri vs. Floridaodds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Tigers have won 2 straight after a 75-66 home victory over Vanderbilt Saturday. Missouri covered as a 5.5-point favorite and the Under (156.5) hit. F Mark Mitchell had 19 points and 7 boards. Those 19 points were the most he has had since dropping 21 in a 98-93 win vs. Cal Dec. 3. This Mizzou team has made significant strides after going 8-24 last season. The Tigers average 85.1 points per game to rank 15th in the country. However, they’re up against a juggernaut Tuesday night.
The Gators also enter on a 2-game win streak, recently taking down Arkansas on the road by a 71-63 count Saturday. They covered as 4-point favorites and are 10-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in the last 11. G Alijah Martin led 4 Gators in double figures with 14 points. G Walter Clayton Jr. had 12 points and shot just 2-for-9 from distance — he’s 3-for-15 (20%) from deep the last 2 games.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Missouri at Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Missouri +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Florida -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Missouri +10.5 (-110) | Florida -10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Missouri at Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 86, Missouri 70
Moneyline
The Gators (-650) should reign supreme here, but they’re priced way out of range.
There is a solid prop bet, though, with WALTER CLAYTON JR. OVER 4.5 ASSISTS (+120). He has 5 or more dimes in 4 straight games. He’s clearly elevating his game in this area, and he should hit this in what could be a blowout.
Against the spread
Mizzou is a great story, but the Tigers are over their heads coming to Gainesville against this team. The Gators are ninth in the country at 86.3 PPG. I don’t love a double-digit spread, but I’ll TAKE FLORIDA -10.5 (-110). Florida is 8-0 at home and 12-4 ATS overall.
Over/Under
Florida is 3-7 O/U in its last 10, and Mizzou is 4-6. Last season’s matchup resulted in an 83-74 Over (154.5) cash. Both of these teams have improved — I like the Over here.
BET OVER 154.5 (-105).
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