The No. 18 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3, 2-2 SEC) welcome the No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (15-2, 4-0) to Humphrey Coliseum Saturday. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Stateodds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Mississippi State, which is No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, enters on a 2-game losing streak. It’s coming off an 88-66 Tuesday loss as a 7.5-point underdog at the No. 1 Auburn Tigers, which was preceded by a 95-90 home loss to the No. 9 Kentucky Wildcats last Saturday. The Bulldogs have failed to cover back-to-back games but are 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 and 9-8 ATS on the season.
The Rebels, who sit No. 21 in the Coaches Poll, beat the No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide 74-64 Tuesday, covering as 12-point road underdogs. They have rattled off 4 straight wins and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in conference play. Ole Miss has allowed 66 or fewer points in all 4 conference games as well. It is 12-5 ATS on the season.
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Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Mississippi State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Ole Miss +5.5 (-110) | Mississippi State -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Ole Miss at Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Mississippi State 72, Ole Miss 68
Moneyline
PASS.
Ole Miss could be worthy of a moneyline play here, but it is getting so many points that the spread is the preferred play. Look there for value over playing a hefty road underdog.
Against the spread
BET OLE MISS +5.5 (-110).
The Rebels have dominated conference play and rewarded bettors often. They held an elite Alabama offense to just 64 points Tuesday. Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS this season as an underdog.
The Bulldogs have allowed 88-plus points in back-to-back games, both against ranked opponents, while going 0-2 ATS. Mississippi State has given up at least 73 points in 2 of its last 3 home games.
Play OLE MISS +5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 146.5 (-110).
The Rebels know how to defend. They have held 9 of their last 10 opponents to 66 or fewer points, going 1-9 O/U. Ole Miss is 6-11 O/U on the season.
The Bulldogs have gone Under in 5 of their last 8 games. Their top 2 scoring options both shoot under 42% from the field, so they may struggle to contribute toward the Over.
Take UNDER 146.5 (-110).
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