The TCU Horned Frogs (9-7, 2-3 Big 12) meet the No. 24 Baylor Bears (11-5, 3-2) Saturday. Tip-off from Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas, is set for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the TCU vs. Baylorodds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
TCU lost 73-65 to the Utah Utes on Wednesday, failing to cover as 4-point home favorites as the Under 144 hit. The Horned Frogs struggled with free throws, making just 10 of 21 attempts. G Vasean Allette had a solid game, putting up 19 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, and 1 steal.
Baylor lost 81-70 to the Arizona Wildcats Tuesday, not covering as 5.5-point road underdogs as the Over 148.5 cashed. G Robert Wright III led the way with 16 points and 4 assists. But 13 turnovers were too much to overcome, as the Wildcats scored 22 points off those mistakes.
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TCU at Baylor odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): TCU +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Baylor -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): TCU +12.5 (-110) | Baylor -12.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
TCU at Baylor picks and predictions
Prediction
Baylor 73, TCU 58
Moneyline
PASS.
Baylor (-800) should get a much needed victory on Sunday afternoon against a weak TCU squad, which is why I’ll take my wager to the spread.
Against the spread
BET BAYLOR -12.5 (-110).
Baylor’s been through a tough stretch, taking on Arizona, the Arizona State Sun Devils, Cincinnati Bearcats, Iowa State Cyclones, and Utah in their last 5 games. No wonder they’ve failed to cover in 3 of their last 4 games.
Now, they’re back home against TCU, a team they should handle without much trouble. Baylor scores 13 more points per game than TCU, which ranks last in the Big 12 in scoring (67.9 PPG). Plus, the Bears lead the conference in offensive rebounds (13.7 per game), giving them plenty of second-chance opportunities.
TCU hasn’t won a road game this season, while Baylor is a perfect at Foster Pavilion (8-0), covering their last 2 at home.
This matchup is exactly what Baylor needs to get back on track. Look for the Bears to take care of business and cruise to an easy win on Sunday.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 136.5 (-115).
Taking the Under with a low number like this feels risky, but the trends point that way. The Under has hit in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams. TCU has gone Under in 6 of their last 7 games, and Baylor in 4 of their last 5 outings. With TCU’s offense struggling and Baylor’s defense likely making it tough, the Under looks solid.
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