The Alabama Crimson Tide (13-2, 2-0 SEC) and Texas A&M Aggies (13-2, 2-0) tussle in a Saturday night top-10 matchup in College Station. The opening tip-off at Reed Arena will be at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Alabama vs. Texas A&Modds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Alabama heads into Saturday ranked No. 5 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll. The Crimson Tide have won 7 in a row straight up (SU) and 4 straight against the spread (ATS). UA plays an up-tempo style of ball, and its 90.9 points per game lead the nation.
No. 9 Texas A&M has won 9 in a row SU and 7 straight ATS. The Aggies sport an excellent defense (63.5 points allowed per game ranks 2nd in SEC), and their offensive rebounding rate ranks 1st in the nation per BartTorvik. A&M has hauled down 13.0 offensive boards per game over its 9-game win streak.
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Alabama at Texas A&M odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Alabama -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Texas A&M +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread: Alabama -2.5 (-110) | Texas A&M +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Alabama at Texas A&M picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas A&M 79, Alabama 78
Moneyline
No interest. PASS.
Against the spread
Alabama is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games of this series. The Tide are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games, and A&M is 4-1 ATS across its last 5 at home.
The venue is a bigger-than-average edge here, and Texas Tech is 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS across 5 Quad I games so far.
For Alabama, this game marks the team’s toughest since November. The Aggies figure to be more battle-tested of late. UA plays at the nation’s second-fastest tempo (BartTorvik), and that makes for a pace clash with A&M being on the average-to-slow end of things. But the Aggies’ rebounding and perimeter defense figure as match-up facets that turn this contest into a near-pick-’em. So, taking the points at home brings leverage.
BET TEXAS A&M +2.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The last 7 A&M games have netted a 5-2 mark for the Under. And the Under is 12-4 in the last 16 series meetings.
UA loves to launch the 3; the Aggies are quite good at defending the perimeter (30.5% 3-point accuracy mark allowed). A&M is also excellent in contesting near-proximity looks. The Crimson Tide does well to force a ton of midrange shots.
Both sides bring scoring-surge factors to bear, and in a close game this score should climb into the 150s. But peg the UNDER 161.5 (-115) as a slight value.
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