The Dallas Stars (27-13-1) make the fourth stop on a 5-game road trip Sunday against the Ottawa Senators (20-18-3) at Canadian Tire Centre. Puck drop is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Senators odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Stars lead 1-0; Dallas won 4-2 at home Jan. 2 as a heavy favorite (-194) as the total (6) pushed at most shops
The home team has won 5 straight meetings in this series since Oct. 24, 2022, while the edge goes to the underdog in 5 of the past 8 meetings since 2020. The Over has cashed at a 2-1-1 clip in the past 4 meetings.
Dallas picked up a 2-1 win in a shootout Saturday, posting a seventh straight victory, while going 8-0-1 across the past 9 outings since Dec. 23. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games, and 9-2-3 in the past 14 outings.
Ottawa blanked Pittsburgh 5-0 behind Leevi Merilainen on Saturday, halting an 0-3-1 skid. The Sens are still just 2-5-1 in the past 8 games, while cashing the Under in 4 in a row. The Senators have hit the Under at a 12-1-4 pace in the past 17 outings, too.
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Stars at Senators odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 7:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Stars -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Senators +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars -1.5 (+195) | Senators +1.5 (-250)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Stars at Senators projected goalies
Casey DeSmith (6-4-0, 2.24 GAA, .916% SV, 1 SO) vs. Anton Forsberg (4-8-1, 3.03 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO)
DeSmith is expected to get the starting nod after Jake Oettinger made the start in Saturday’s win in Montreal. DeSmith allowed just a single goal on 28 shots in a 4-1 win in Philadelphia Thursday, and he has picked up victories in each of his past 3 starts.
Forsberg is expected to be tabbed for Sunday’s outing after Merlilainen blanked the Pens Saturday on the road. Forsberg did not get any offensive support in his most recent start, a 4-0 loss to the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday. The offense has provided just 2 goals in his past 3 starts.
Stars at Senators picks and predictions
Prediction
Stars 3, Senators 2
Moneyline
The STARS (-135) are worth a look as moderate favorites on the road, even with DeSmith in between the pipes.
The Senators (+115) have struggled to score goals, especially when Forsberg is in between the pipes for some reason. Ottawa is just 2-5-1 in the past 8 outings.
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Puck line/Against the spread
The Senators +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward if you require insurance, and you can’t bring yourself to take Ottawa straight up.
AVOID.
Over/Under
UNDER 6 (-115) is worth a look, even in a battle of DeSmith vs. Forsberg, with both teams playing on no rest.
The Under is on fire for the Senators, going 4-0 in the past 4 games, and 12-1-4 in the past 17 outings. The total has cashed low in 3 straight starts for Forsberg, too.
For the Stars, the total has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games, while going 6-1-3 in the past 10 outings, and 13-3-3 in the previous 19 contests.
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