The Dallas Mavericks (22-16) welcome the Denver Nuggets (22-15) to American Airlines Center Sunday. Tip is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Mavericksodds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Series tied 1-1; Nuggets have split at home, winning 122-120 on Nov. 10 and losing 123-120 on Nov. 22
The Mavericks beat the Portland Trail Blazers 117-111 on Thursday night, closing as a 7.5-point home favorite. With their 2 top scorers sidelined, they were led by G Jaden Hardy‘s 25 points. Dallas has won 2 in a row after a 5-game losing streak. It has gone 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last 7 contests and is 19-18-1 ATS on the season.
The Nuggets beat the Brooklyn Nets 124-105 Friday, closing as a 14.5-point home favorite. They were led by C Nikola Jokic, who scored a game-high 35 points on 14-for-21 shooting. Denver has won 2 straight and 6 of its last 8 outings, covering 6 of those games as well. It is 17-19-1 ATS.
Nuggets at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Mavericks +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -4.5 (-115) | Mavericks +4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nuggets at Mavericks key injuries
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (calf) questionable
- C Nikola Jokic (illness) probable
- G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
Mavericks
- G Luke Doncic (calf) out
- G Kyrie Irving (back) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 121, Mavericks 115
Moneyline
PASS.
The Mavericks are too banged up to play here despite being a home underdog. Similarly, the Nuggets are too expensive and better played on the spread.
Against the spread
BET NUGGETS -4.5 (-115).
The Nuggets’ offense has been on fire as of late, averaging 125 points per game and covering in 2 straight. They have also covered 2 in a row on the road, averaging 127 PPG in those.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks are reeling without both Doncic and Irving, who combine to average 54 points. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 and 1-3 ATS at home in the span.
Considering those trends, back NUGGETS -4.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET OVER 228.5 (-110).
The Nuggets have scored with ease as of late while the Mavericks have played surprisingly well offensively without their stars. They have scored 117 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games, while allowing at least 111 points in 3 of these previous 4 games.
Denver is 2-0 O/U in its last 2 and 23-13-1 O/U on the season. It has topped 120 points in 7 of its last 9 games. With that in mind, play OVER 228.5 (-110).
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