Manchester City (11 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses) welcomes Chelsea (11-7-4) to Etihad Stadium Saturday. Kickoff in the high-profile EPL clash is set for 12:30 p.m. ET (Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Manchester City vs. Chelsea odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City has struggled for parts of the season and sits fifth in the EPL after winning the league a season ago. City has bounced back as of late, going 4-1-1 in its last 6 games throughout all competitions. City is 3-1-0 in its last 4 league games, coming off a 6-0 road win over Ipsich Town Sunday in their last EPL battle. City lost to PSG 4-2 in a UEFA Champions League match Wednesday. F Erling Haaland leads Man City with 17 goals in 22 EPL matches.
Chelsea sits fourth in the EPL, 2 points ahead of Man City and 10 points behind first-place Liverpool. Chelsea is coming off a 3-1 home win over the Wolves Monday, ending with 2.3 more expected goals. It has gone 2-2-2 in its last 6 games across all competitions and had won 8 in a row prior to that. The Blues have performed well on the road, posting a 6-3-2 record away from home in EPL action. They are led by F Cole Palmer, who has 14 goals in 22 starts.
World class soccer coverage all in one place:Get ESPN+
Manchester City vs. Chelsea odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:26 p.m. ET.
Expert NFL playoff picks: Unique data and betting insights only at USA TODAY
- Moneyline: Manchester City +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Chelsea +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -110 | U: -130)
Manchester City vs. Chelsea picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester City 2, Chelsea 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET MANCHESTER CITY (+105).
City has consistently won at home, and while the Citizens have disappointed for parts of the season, they still have Chelsea’s number. City beat Chelsea 2-0 in the first matchweek, ending with 0.2 more expected goals despite playing on the road. City is a strong 6-2-2 at home as well.
While for most of the season Chelsea has played well on the road, it is 0-2-1 in its last 3. Against Man U and Liverpool, quality sides similar to City, it has had a combined 1.8 fewer expected goals when on the road this season.
Considering the odds here and Chelsea’s play against top sides while on the road, TAKE MANCHESTER CITY (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-130).
In the first match between these two sides, there were a combined 1.8 expected goals and just 2 actual goals scored. Chelsea has gone Under this total in 3 straight road games and in 8 of 11 away games this season.
City has had either a clean sheet or allowed just 1 goal in 4 of its last 5 league competitions, allowing 1.4 or fewer expected goals in 4 of its last 5. The Citizens have scored more than 2 goals in just 2 of their last 8 EPL matches.
UNDER 3.5 (-130) is the way to go.
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
More EPL Picks and Predictions!
Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions
Liverpool vs. Man City odds, picks and predictions
